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Oregon State opens this contest as point dogs. This games report has current odds, betting trends, and free picks against the spread. Iowa State opens this game as point dogs. This matchup report includes betting lines and our pick of the day for this game. Memphis opens this contest as 6. This Matchup report includes Vegas odds and a free basketball pick for tonight.
Marquette opens this matchup as San Diego State opens this game as Indiana opens this matchup as 3-point favorites. South Florida opens this contest as point underdogs. The spread on this contest has Virginia as 2. The total opens at Conte Forum on Wednesday, February 10, The odds on this contest have Wake Forest as 1-point favorites. UCF opens this game as 1-point underdogs.
Georgia opens this contest as Ole Miss opens this contest as 2-point favorites. All of these articles are written by our talented staff. If you have any comments or suggestions please email service docsports. They shoot the three-pointer at the fifth-best mark in conference.
The issue arises when we see that they rank last in two-point field goals in Big East play. Where the Huskies have really stood out, though, is their defense. UConn has the most efficient defense in the Big East and hold their opponents to an effective field-goal percentage that ranks second. They defend the three-point line at the third-best mark and from two-point range they rank fifth. Also consider the fact that Huskies rank second in defensive turnover rate, first in block rate, and second in steal rate; it is likely that Providence is going to have their fair share of struggles on offense.
The Friars really starting to struggle, losing their last three games in a row. They are not as efficient offensively, only ranking eighth in the Big East. They struggle from two-point range, as well, and are average at best from downtown. Defense has also been an issue for Providence, also ranking as the eighth most efficient team in the Big East. They are only ninth in defensive turnover rate, making it hard to believe that they are going to force those extra possessions.
The Huskies are a solid against the spread this season, in their last 10 games, and ATS in their away games. Given the Huskies are a better scoring team and have the better defense, my pick will be UConn as a lean. The total is pretty low in this game and we have to take into account the pace at which these teams play.
The Huskies have the second slowest pace in the Big East, while the Friars rank eighth in the same category. In terms of a broader picture, UConn ranks th in the country in pace and Providence ranks th. We have already discussed how UConn is the most efficient defense and how they are very good at defending the three-point line. The Friars are actually better at defending the three, ranking first in the Big East. They obviously are going to try to force the Huskies in the paint, where we know they struggle.
Also, while UConn is known for their ability to force turnovers, Providence is lacking in this category. The Friars have a defensive turnover rate that ranks ninth in the country, which makes me believe UConn will be able to have much longer possessions each time up the floor.
I still would only recommend a small bet on the under because if either side gets hot, the points are going to come quickly. The Hoosiers are fresh off a massive home win over Iowa, as Indiana was able to sweep the regular-season series over the Hawkeyes.
Indiana still needs to win as many games down the stretch as possible in order to put themselves in the best position possible to secure an at-large bid to the big dance. The Hoosiers did drop the first meeting between these schools back on December 23, but much has changed from then to now. Northwestern is amidst a nine game losing streak, having last won on December The Wildcats have struggled on both ends of the court, rating out as the 11th most efficient offense and 14th most efficient defense in the Big Ten.
In college basketball, defense travels, and the more disciplined team on the defensive end of the floor walks away with the win more times than not after 40 minutes. Back the Hoosiers. The Hoosiers methodical style of play The Wildcats must convert on their primary shot attempts, as they rank dead last in offensive rebound percentage in the Big Ten.
Indiana excels at limiting their opposition on the glass, holding opponents to a Northern Iowa has been one of the most consistent programs in the Missouri Valley Conference. However, when you lose your best player—and maybe the best player in the league—times get pretty tough if you are a mid-major program.
They are coming off a win which helps but now they are going to be facing a Drake team that has to be a little angry after their first loss of the season. Without AJ Green, the scoring has not been there even though it is well distributed. They have four players scoring between 11 and 12 ppg.
It is now open season on this question: what are the Drake Bulldogs? If you were on them early you have banked a lot of profits, but they are coming off their first loss of the season and have not covered in three of their last four. The hope for the league was that they could get to the weekend still undefeated so those back to back games against Loyola-Chicago would be that much more meaningful.
Home vs. Northern Iowa is a pretty good spot for them to lick their wounds and get refocused. For most of the season, Drake has been taking names and covering numbers while doing so. Now we have to decide how much we want to continue to invest with them due to some recent results. Sure the recent trends are not as good, but I still think what we have seen overall is impressive. When you add in that they are at home and facing one of the worst teams in the MVC, fading them just seems silly.
Their average margin of victories in these games is 28ppg. Take Drake. In those homecourt dominations, Drake is averaging 88 ppg and the average combined score in those games is ppg, which is quite a bit higher than what we are seeing here. My concern is that Northern Iowa might not be able to go along for the ride.
On the road, they are averaging a meager 62 ppg and in their two games at Loyola-Chicago they did not even score 60 points. The Ramblers are more committed to defense than the Bulldogs but still the closest comparison in the MVC. Those results make me worry the Panthers are not going to be able to score enough to get that over. Take the under. The Houston Cougars have been rolling recently, as they have covered seven of their last eight games and they have covered those by an average of five points per game.
The Cougars have one of the best defenses in the country, only allowing 57 points per game—second in the nation—on 36 percent from the field best in the nation and 25 percent from behind the three-point line second in the nation.
This team has Final Four potential and they should flex their muscles against the terrible South Florida Bulls. The Cougars have also dominated the Bulls in recent years as they are against the number in their last seven matchups. Houston is ranked sixth in the nation according to KenPom, which is the highest by a team not in the power five conferences.
Cougar guard Quentin Grimes is one of the best players in the nation and is coming off of two terrible games. I am expecting him to explode for about points in this game and lead Houston to a win and cover. This spread is way too small. I am expecting the Cougars to win by 15 points or more and cover this spread easily. The Bulls should not be able to score more than 55 points and that should ultimately keep this game under the total. Each of the last five between these two teams have stayed under the total and they have stayed under by an average of 12 points per game.
The Bulls are not bad defensively, either, and they should be able to hold the Cougars to under 75 points in this game. I am only projecting between to points in this game. This gives us value on the under in this game between two strong defenses. Virginia can sometimes be a tough team to figure out. There is no doubt they are good, once again featuring one of the best defenses in the country.
This year they are a little more frontcourt-oriented though thanks to the duo of Sam Houser and Jay Huff. Those two average 29 ppg combined and there are not many teams that are getting that kind of production up front. Huff is also a defensive eraser, averaging more than two blocks per game. Georgia Tech is having a nice season. The Yellow Jackets are over.
They should have some confidence for this one, too, as they went to Charlottesville last month and only lost by a couple of points. Jose Alvarado is the kind of do-everything guard you need if you are going to beat the top programs, especially one like Virginia.
He needs to be on his game. Virginia can beat anyone in the ACC by a significant margin, yet here they are on the road and only need to win by one possession to cash the ticket. The loss at Virginia Tech a few games back might have scared some off, but this is a great chance to win that back and then some.
Take Virginia. This total is right in line with the game we saw at Virginia. That one finished at , so projecting a total just a little higher at Georgia Tech in the rematch makes a lot of sense. GT is a team with drastic scoring splits. The Jackets score 83 ppg at home, almost 20 more than they score on the road. Their defense gets a little looser, too, as they are giving up 74 ppg.
That combination of ppg is a lot more than this one is projected at. Some recent results show home wins over good defensive teams such as Florida State and Clemson last month. Both games went over the total as the Yellow Jackets were able to get the game going at a brisker pace. They take the loss here but do succeed in speeding things up a little. Take the over. But on the bright side somebody has to win here. For a few reasons, I think it will be the Eagles who emerge victorious.
Right before the hiatus they had started to play a lot better. They only lost by one on the road against Duke, only by three on the road against NC State, and they beat Miami by Getting BC as a home underdog here presents a lot of value. The over also makes some sense in this spot. Wake Forest shoots a very respectable 36 percent from downtown as a team. Perhaps most importantly, neither defense can stop anybody. The Eagles have given up at least 80 points in back-to-back games, so a total in the low s seems pretty conservative here.
Wake Forest just gave up 79 to Notre Dame their last time out. This one has shootout potential. Rutgers is a half-game behind Iowa in the Big Ten standings right now. I think the key to their success is playing at a more modest pace. Rutgers has a nice experienced, physical team, but playing too fast can be dangerous for them. They can win grinders as long as they do not have to do so at the free-throw line; they only make 60 percent.
The Scarlet Knights look like they are catching Iowa at the right time on Wednesday. Iowa has lost four of their last five, including two losses to Indiana that just might get the Hoosiers into the tournament. Mostly the losses have been due to teams taking advantage of a lame Hawkeye defense, but Iowa scored only 65 points in losing Indiana on Super Bowl Sunday. That was a season-low. Rutgers is going to be a struggle for them because they have a big man who has a decent shot of guarding Luka Garza without needing help.
That makes it tough for the rest of the team that relies on him to create space. This one is a tough call. I think Rutgers will be able to slow things down and even though there might be some empty trips at the foul line, they will be able to put pressure on the Hawkeyes all game long. They might even win it. Take Rutgers. The total for this one seems more in line with business as usual for the Hawkeyes.
But correlating this with the handicap above, I think Rutgers can be effective by taking a rugged approach to this one. Although it might not be pretty basketball, slowing things down helps them stay in the game. They are playing teams in the 60s outside the RAC and when these teams played a two-point game, with Iowa winning at Rutgers last month both teams scored in the mids in a game that went under.
I think we see less scoring than that with the way both teams are playing right now. This is a large spread to cover, but take Tennessee to get it done, thanks to some very favorable matchup advantages. One of the reasons for this ranking is their ability to force turnovers, which they do at the 15th highest rate in the country.
This spells disaster for a Georgia team that ranks th in protecting the ball. Georgia shoots the 10th highest percentage of their shots at the rim, but they may have issues against Tennessee. The Vols rank 19th in field goal defense at the rim, and 13th in block rate as well. Switching to the other end of the court, Georgia is very weak on the interior. They rank 50th in two-point field goal defense and th in defensive rebounding rate.
The under is a strong recommendation for this game. To start with pace, Tennessee is definitely going to try to slow this game down. Their games only average Georgia loves to play fast, ranking 25th in the country at Only 23 teams take more shots in transition than the Bulldogs, but Tennessee wants to play slowly in order to deny these transition opportunities and force opponents to score on their top-ranked defense.
As mentioned in the point spread write-up, Tennessee is also excellent at defending at the rim, which is crucial against a Georgia team that ranks 10th in the country in shots at the rim. A lot of this is due to their affinity for mid-range jump shots, which are very inefficient shots.
This is not a good way to be efficient on the offensive end. Georgia is actually very good at forcing these shots as well, ranking 16th in the country in doing so. Mississippi State is the recommended side in this game, and becomes a pretty strong play if Darius Days were to miss the game for LSU. Days is questionable for the game with a knee injury, and he is very important for the Tigers. The Tigers score 1. From a matchup perspective, this game will likely come down to which team rebounds the ball better.
Both teams rely heavily on offensive rebounds, but Mississippi State is the better defensive rebounding team. Mississippi State ranks seventh in the country in offensive rebounding rate and th in defensive rebounding rate, while LSU ranks 84th in the country in offensive rebounding rate, but just th in defensive rebounding rate.
Also keep in mind their leading rebounder might be out for this game. One more reason to like the Bulldogs is how they defend the paint. Mississippi State is 11th in the country in limiting shots at the rim. This game will likely feature a ton of offensive rebounds, but look for Mississippi State to allow slightly less of them, which is enough to cover the short home spread. This game is very interesting from a pace perspective. LSU wants to play fast, ranking 73rd in the country in average possessions per game at Mississippi State is the opposite, ranking th at The teams met just once last year, and that game played 64 possessions.
LSU shoots a larger volume of threes, but the Tigers are shooting just One final point to help the under is the fact that both teams are very good at not giving an abundance of free-throw attempts to their opponents. Mississippi State is 43rd in the country at not allowing free-throws, while LSU ranks 64th. This should help prevent the game becoming a parade to the free-throw line, and keep points off the board.
Villanova will play their third Big East conference game in seven days as they host Marquette Wednesday night in Philadelphia. Villanova is looking to better their NCAA Tournament resume as the regular-season winds down, and if the Wildcats have any hope of securing a number one seed, they must take care of an inferior Golden Eagle bunch.
These teams previously met back on December 23, as the Wildcats defeated the Golden Eagles In the win, Villanova scored 1. In Big East conference play, the Wildcats rate out number one in offensive efficiency, three-point shooting percentage, turnover percentage and assists per made field goal.
While their stock in the betting market is fairly high, they have the capability of covering the current point spread against the Golden Eagles. Marquette has struggled on the defensive end of the floor in conference play, rating out as the 10th most efficient defense out of 11 Big East schools. The major cause for concern in this matchup is on the perimeter. Villanova shoots the highest volume of three-point shots in Big East play, while Marquette allows opponents to shoot the three at a The over looks to be the side in this one, as Marquette will need to keep pace with the Wildcats potent offense if they have any shot of staying in this game.
Back the over. Meanwhile, Ole Miss was close to falling completely off the tournament map only a week ago. People continue to underestimate and disrespect them at their own peril. Besides the trends, there are also some schematic reasons for why Ole Miss would struggle against Missouri.
Missouri likes to score, and they have at least four players who they can count on for double-digit points every night. Besides junior guard Xavier Pinson This veteran savviness has resulted in one of the most consistent offenses in all of Division I, and their ability to dish the rock That offensive consistency has also helped their totals this season, as the total has hit the over in five of their last six games. For starters, the total has only gone under in only one of the last 10 meetings between these two schools.
Further, a total of suggests that these teams need to score around 67 points each. Fortunately, the renowned Rebels defense has allowed their opponents to exceed that total in three of their last four games. Purdue should be feeling good coming into this one. They are off a win and when they hosted Minnesota earlier in the year they got an easy victory, beating the Gophers by Purdue is not necessarily elite but they stay within themselves and play a physical style that suits their personnel.
Those are nice baseline numbers he can repeat. Minnesota is a much better team at home than on the road this season. They got off to a hot start, but since conference play started it has been a struggle. In that loss to Purdue last month, top scorer Marcus Carr scored only six points, a season-low.
When he is off his game the Gophers really struggle to find regular scoring. Liam Robbins is a nice player in the middle but he is more of a complimentary piece. That extends to defense too. He can be a menace as a help defender but he is not going to anchor and shut down Williams.
I was hoping for a bigger number here where we could get some value on Purdue even if they lost. With this set at just two points, they are likely only going to cover if they win but I am willing to take the chance. Purdue is ATS as a road dog this season including three upset wins.
When these teams last met we saw them go over the total. It was only by a half-point though and primarily because Purdue had one of their best shooting games of the season making more than half their threes. That is tough to repeat on the road and even though the total has come down from what it was the first time these teams played the under is the way to go.
Purdue is more than happy to play grinder games on the road. Away from Mackey Arena, their average tilt is averaging only points. This line gives a lot of room to come in under that number. This is not necessarily a blockbuster type matchup, but regardless there still appears to be an angle that can be found on one of these two teams. Starting with the favorite and the better team, Utah, will be looking for their fifth win in their last seven games.
In this particular matchup, they hold an edge is pretty much every category. Starting with their offense, the Utes rank as the sixth most efficient in the Pac While this does now jump off the page, they are complimented by the fact that they are shooting an effective field goal percent of The Utes have almost exclusively done their damage from two-point range since the beginning of Pac play, ranking second in two-point percentage, compared to 10 th from downtown.
Where the issue is going to arise for California is the fact that they allow their conference to shoot an effective field goal percentage of This ranks last in the conference. Also ranking last, is their three-point defense and two-point defense, hence where Utah can find success. Cal is not helping themselves either because on offense, they are 10 th in effective field goals, 10 th in turnover rate and 11 th in offensive rebound rate.
This Bears team just does not have the scoring intensity to keep up.
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